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Hello this is Matt on the moon Lambo Channel okay the last few months in Particular living in the world of crypto It's been pretty fun it's been neat Living through this historic moment Having the the first spot Bitcoin ETFs Get approved in the United States Fantastic to see it I believe the Long-term implications are not Sufficiently appreciated perhaps uh There's a little bit too much hype in The short term but setting that aside Can we just get down to the million Dooll question cuz what we're all really Wondering is are we going to see new All-time highs or not is Bitcoin Specific at a point in the market cycle Where it's actually in short order going To be running to a new all-time high and This is of gigantic consequence to all Of us in the world of crypto because Bitcoin leads the Market if if it's the case that Bitcoin's going to run to a new all-time High I can only imagine the face melting Activity that's going to occur with Altcoins specifically I'm most Interested uh in xrp I'm biased it's my Largest individual holding um I I I just I'm telling you Bitcoin hits a new Alltime high buckle up like my Expectation would that xrp will Substantially outperform Bitcoin but I'm Also excited for the rest of the
Altcoins that I hold and look forward to Seeing what happens with the rest of Them as well but if we don't I am less Optimistic if we don't see a new Bitcoin Alltime high and and some think that you Know we're pretty much at the heights of What we're going to see for Bitcoin uh Maybe we're going to see some more Fireworks this year for for some Altcoins although they'd be muted Compared to if Bitcoin hits a new Alltime high so that's why the question Is of such great consequence well that's Why I want to talk about this and I've Got perspective from three chart Analysts that I I just considered to be Among the best out there the three there Are three in particular I've been Following all of them for years on end And it's interesting because one of them Thinks we it's it's virtual certainty he Couldn't be more confident we're going To see new alltime high another one of Them thinks that it's not probable that We see a new all-time high right now for Bitcoin and the third one says uh either Way is possible uh we don't have Sufficient data but he believes that we Are going to have sufficient data to Make that determination likely within The next few weeks and again the hit Rate for these guys it's it's just Through the roof but there's some Disagreement on like the most core
Crucial important question to all of us New alltime high or not and so that's Why it's going to be interesting to see Who's right and how things play out uh But before going further I do want to be Clear I do not have a financial Background of any kind I am not offering Financial advice and you definitely Should not buy or sell anything because Of anything I say or right I'm just an Enthusiast who enjoy is making YouTube Videos about crypto related topics but Just as a hobby and just for fun all Right so who are the three analysts uh Well the first one will be credible Crypto he does believe we're going to be Seeing a new all-time high for Bitcoin In short order uh the second one is the Blockchain backer who although he Acknowledges there could be a new Alltime high he does not think that's What's most probable and the third one Is alesio rastani now I don't cover Material from him as much on my channel But that's not having anything to do With uh you know the the quality of his Work um I I I consider these three Analysts to be basically on the same Level I think they're all absolutely Fantastic as far as AIO is concerned Though uh he's less consistent with what He puts out it's not always about Cryptocurrency and so he's not always at The for front of my mind but man this
Guy is incredible he has a massive Following well-deserved 380,000 Subscribers Uh on YouTube it's very impressive here Um and so you'll you'll see though and I'm I'm going to cover them in that Order credible crypto blockchain backer And then alesio Rani because alesio Rani Makes the case for why it actually could Go either way but what's at stake well We'll get to it um so uh I'll just Mention the time I'm recording this xrp Uh just a hair shy of 60 cents Bitcoin Just over $46,000 despite some of the excitement With the trading of the spot Bitcoin ETFs it's just been sideways movement For the the most part some little bursts Here and there but uh not to sell the News event but also not to buy the news Event I I didn't see anybody guess that Would be the case but that is what we're Working with right here you got the Crypto fear and greed index at 71 out of 100 so Market participants are in greed And the uh the market cap for the asset Class 1.77 Trillion uh here you have a post uh this Is some of the latest from chart analyst Credible Crypto and um and he uh he wrote The Following Bitcoin is up 10% since the Quoted tweet let's take a look at how The data looks now and so he's
Referencing a post from January 5th in Which he said in part and this is a Quote from him all this to say that we Are literally as Unroyal leading the markets into what is Arguably the most bullish fundamental Catalyst over the last few years don't Over complicate it number go up in quote Yeah and I remember reading that at the Time seeing the optimism there and Certainly appreciating it and so now He's coming back and providing an update And this is from today by the way the Rest this is from today at 2:17 p.m. Central Time and he said number went up But ideally this is just the start Looking at our data we can see that Funding remains flat open interest Continues to bleed down and while we Have seen a bit of a per premium popup This has occurred in all pre prior Instances as we began our climb to the Upside is our consolidation complete and Are we ready for the next leg up let's See how things develop long and strong Bitcoin and a long story short even if This isn't the exact moment he is firm That we are going to be seeing a move to The upside and just to be clear all the The three anals that I'm highlighting in This video all of them were going Against the grain over a year ago when They were saying uh Market looks strong Buy Bottoms in all three of them were
Saying this when that is not what most Analysts were saying out there on social Media on YouTube so on and so forth that They're they were all right about that And they gave their reasons as to why They had various you know not saying the Analysis was the same for all of them But they all came to the same conclusion At about the same time and that these Not popular opinions at the time people Were screaming crying they were in pain Uh emotionally number go down $122,000 Bitcoin all that crap but all three of These guys said no that's not what's Most probable and they were right to Their credit for all of them and that's Why it's so fascinating like they're so Good I just I I want to I want to know So badly who is Right because again like I said it's Going to be a substantial consequence And um and so to bring the point home as Far as credible crypto is concerned uh I Want to share this with you uh and this Is from January 9th credible crypto and This just kind of emphasizes the degree To which he's all on board with this Idea of a new alltime high for Bitcoin And in fact he's been arguing for years That we're actually not in a new cycle Right now it's it's a it's like a super Cycle it's a continuation of the Previous cycle it just hasn't ended and That's part of his big analysis as to
Why he thinks we're going to be going Way way way higher in the short term and So here's what he wrote can't wait for This idea of us being in a new cycle After completing our last Bitcoin cycle At the $69,000 highs gets completely and Utterly debunked and but not for you're Not looking he wrote that in bold for a Reason he thinks the idea of uh of the Last cycle if you want to call he Doesn't want to call it that of $699,000 Bitcoin uh he thinks the idea is trash He thinks it's wrong and then he says The below Graphics would lead you to Believe that this cycle started in 22 And that we won't see our top until 25 Or or 2026 I've made the argument for years Now that the current price Action Falls Within the same within I'm sorry within The bounds of the same cycle that we Have been in since 2018 and that we will See a blowoff top before 2025 and So that would I would love for this to Be correct I'm not pretending to know Who who has the right perspective here But he is firm on this and he has been Saying this consistently for Years and so if we're that means we've In the same cycle for like six years and He thinks that Cycles are lengthening And it's it's going to blow off like
This is the time for this to Happen um now the blockchain backer is Not convinced of this and from what I've Seen from him and I never want to put Words in anybody's mouth it's not that He's completely ruling out the Possibility of Bitcoin going to a new Alltime high he just based on current Data does not think that's what's most Probable he's been pretty clear about That part right and so he shared this Post this is from December 3rd 2023 and he kind of break stuff down for People here here's what he wrote Bitcoin's bullish move has been going on For over one year many are just Realizing now It with that I'm now beginning to Actively sell the Bitcoin I bought at The lows we're up 162% it's only 24% till we hit the1 Trillion market cap the 702 retrace I Suspect the comment section will be Filled with we're just starting are you Crazy Bitcoin ETF we aren't just starting it's been Rising for over a year and the vast Majority waited panicking during the Wall of worry but now most aren't Worried anymore they are fearless I Suspect we'll see3 to $32,000 one day Even in the most bullish of scenarios Maybe I'll buy there but what will you Do if it goes into an all-time high I
Own altcoins they'll absolutely demolish Bitcoin if Bitcoin goes into an alltime High and anyone who has studied the Historical behavior of the Cryptocurrency market knows that and I Still suspect altcoins are going to Massively outperform Bitcoin if all this Is a retrace for Bitcoin see my recent woff accumulation Post okay so so that's a point and That's that's kind of what I was Referencing at the outs of the video so Altcoins are going to outperform bitcoin No matter what there's way more money in Bitcoin way less money in all faults are Going to pop they're going to have a Greater performance it's going to be That that's where the real money is to Be made so the thing is even if that's True maybe maybe some of my altcoins Even if Bitcoin doesn't hit a new Alltime high maybe some of the altcoins I hold will go high enough where I'll Finally feel enticed to sell that might Happen but I'm not optimistic that xrp Will be one of those coins because xrp Has never gone into new all-time highs If Bitcoin hasn't and maybe it's Different I'm not saying it's literally Impossible but I won't be optimistic for That and so that would be kind of Disappointing maybe I do get to take Some profit for the first time and Actually cash up to United States
Dollars because I've never done that and I've been in crypto over six years I'm just very stubborn about my approach To investing whether it's in equities or Crypto it's I buy and then I don't touch It that's it that that's what works for Me asset class keeps getting bigger I Know it's not for everybody that's what I do though and I'm very happy with what I'm doing so you know if we do see all Time I for Bitcoin this is this is why I Said at the outset this is the Million-dollar question if Bitcoin goes In a new all-time high the alts will do That much better if if Bitcoin doesn't And it's topping out roughly where it is Now maybe we still see some fireworks But just because it's the end of the Cycle and some of that stuff happens But either way the point is the alt Coins outperform either way anyway he Continues on otherwise what a journey Feels good to take some off the table I Spent a year and a half on the opposite Side of retail with them screaming we're Going to $122,000 I got to enjoy about a month With us on the same side as excitement Returned above $35,000 but this will of course put me On the enemy list again that's Unfortunate but it comes with going Against the Consensus while I don't enjoy being
Viewed as the enemy I never let it deter Me from what from doing what I think is Right and just know I'm not the enemy I Spent a year and a half screaming the Bottom was In it's just that many wouldn't listen Again I've begun selling the Bitcoin I Bought at the lows in 2022 2023 I still Have the original 35% I bought back in The 300 to $6,000 levels in 2018/29 and it'll be a process for me to Sell this as I don't do things in one Large lump sum but Daddy getting Paid a nothing wrong with that no no Problem ever with taking profit to each Their own and and he it's just see this Is what scares me he's so good at what He does I'm afraid that he's right Because he's so damn good at this it's The truth I want him to be wrong you Know I want Bitcoin to go to do all time High and I'm sure he'd he'd be happy if He were wrong because you know that Helps his net worth too Uh but um again he just he has such a Scary high accuracy that I'm just I I Take what he says very seriously I think That's very I know we all do right There's a ton of overlap between his Audience and mine and for good reason We're all interested in the same stuff Including xrp Obviously uh it's just that Bitcoin Leads the market and that's why this is
Of consequence but that's why when he Says yeah well even if Bitcoin goes to The all-time high so what how much how Much money is he actually leaving on the Table at that point how much higher is Bitcoin going to go even if it trip from This point so what the monies and the Alts you know um and then he shared this This afternoon 2:42 p.m. central Time Brand new post he wrote I'm done I Finished selling all the Bitcoin Accumulated at the lows the 618 retrace Was hit this morning that's it for me Wild year long ride good luck to bitcoin I still have the 35% from 2018 through 2019 which is about 8% of My overall Portfolio time for the real fun so he Seems very optimistic Regardless um and again I know all of us Would prefer that Bitcoin hit a new All-time high just again the question is Is that something that is is realistic Here right and so that brings us to what Uh alesio Rani had to say now he Published a video here you can see even Shared it on social media platform X 1:15 p.m. central Time today and I Checked this thing out it was like 9 or 10 minutes and um he wrote here Bitcoin Finally reaches key level this is Setting up next and again he's another One of the guys out there that he just His hit rate is incredibly high and so That that's why like when I'm putting
Out this video I I thought you know what I'm just going to put out this video With three of the the most badass Heavy Hitters that in my opinion that I follow In the world of charting crypto and so Alesio Rani although again like I said I Don't highlight him as frequently uh I In my mind he's in the same category he He's absolutely fantastic and and he was Against the grain he's not afraid to go Against the grain the crappy analysts They go with the grain you know it's the Same as stupid retail sentiment whatever That that's what they do there's a Reason he has 380,000 uh subscribers on YouTube welld deserved as far as I'm Concerned here and so so here's here's The bottom line and if you want all the Technical analysis I don't like to Regurgitate ta so if you want that just Go check out those guys channels all Right um but I'm I'm making a video Where I'm comparing the overall Perspectives and having a conversation About this um so I'm not going to regate The TA but want to share with you what I Thought were some of the notable Takeaways from this particular video Because alesio Rani he actually is Expecting within the next few weeks he Said a pullback for Bitcoin of at least 15 to 20% and again within the next few Weeks so it's going to scare the hell Out of some people now this stuff never
Scares me I I've been in this for over Six years I know the overall trend is up For the crypto asset class uh that's not Going to change I I firmly believe that Um but uh he says that's coming soon and And here's the thing he says that the Structure of the pullback the actual Chart structure of the pullback is what Will tell him whether Bitcoin is going To a new all-time high in all Probability or whether it is at the end Of the cycle so you know he notes that What we're seeing right now could be Peak optimism in this market cycle for Bitcoin and we did for the first time This cycle uh hit extreme greed on the Fear in greed index uh yesterday and it Dipped a little bit below that today but He's just noting that sentiment is Closer anyway to where you would expect It to be if we are nearing the end of The Cycle so I I mean I I will say it's it's Certainly to me felt like a lot more of A Mania environment uh towards the end Of these things but you know even with The for instance the blockchain backer Having his perspective that it's not Probable we're going to have a new Alltime high for Bitcoin he thinks it's Quite plausible that the next several Months are still going to be seriously Fun fireworks are be going off it's just Probably you know more so for altcoins
So we still have plenty of time to see That metric increase and and to see it Sustained for long periods of time in Extreme greed that can still happen here But alesio Rin again he notes that what We could be at right now is Peak Optimism in this market cycle for Bitcoin are very close right this this Actually could be the moment and so he Says that once we have a large pullback In Bitcoin it will be useful because you Know he says without seeing what the Very nature is in the charts of a large Pullback from Bitcoin he says it's Virtually impossible for him to Accurately conclude whether this is the Top of the cycle for Bitcoin or whether Bitcoin will go to new all-time highs And so if you want to know the specifics Of exactly what the chart formation is If you like to get into the nerdy techy Stuff like that just watch his video It's fantastic he breaks it down in Great detail uh but that's that's what He's that's what he's saying so in his Mind we're likely to have a pullback a Notable pullback a big one in coming Weeks and that's when he's going to be Able to tell finally what what happens And so it's just interesting you have Three my favorite analysts out there who I think are incredibly talented they Have they all have an incredible hit Rate but they they all have different
Perspectives on the most important Question that we could possibly be Asking ourselves in the world of crypto One says new alltime high one says H Maybe but it doesn't seem probable at This point in the third says there's no Way to know right now but we'll know Soon so we're going to find out together And obviously all of us would love to See Moon time we'd love to see the new All-time high I don't pretend to know For sure which is going to happen but I'm just going to keep tracking this and I'll keep talking about the perspectives That these these analysts are sharing Here but we live in interesting times uh Now the good news is even if we don't See new alltime high for Bitcoin um and Even if xrp as a result doesn't hit a New alltime high as you know unfortunate As that would be um I have nothing but The most positive long-term outlook for This asset class including xrp so I will Sit here and hold I don't care if it Takes another decade it doesn't matter To me I I I when it comes to investing I Just have a long-term mindset because That's what it takes to win what would It take for me to change my perspective And think that oh I man I should sell This this coin or that coin xrp or Otherwise something fundamental would Have to change but if you're just Talking about regular speculation in how
Highly the most volatile acid class in The entire planet no having to wait for Years on end which I've already done and Uh that in and of itself is not an Indication of whether xrp will or will Not hit a new alltime high So my answer For just for me personally is no matter What I hold no matter how long it takes I will be more stubborn than any other Human on the planet period because I do Firmly believe at some unknown point in The future xrp will hit a new all-time High that's just how this works Sometimes these these plays take a long Time uh to to to materialize that's just The the nature of investing so if There's no fundamental negative shift Especially in terms of adoption utility Developer activity all that stuff why Would I why would I then be devastated By I won't be I mean yeah it would be Kind of disappointed if we have to look Longer but I'm an adult like I'm not Going to be I'm not I'm not going to Like feel emotions and then like oh man I got to get out of this thing that's What that like that is not a Sophisticated like using emotion to make Important financial decisions not the Best idea I will still not do that so Whatever whoever's going to happen it's Going to happen we're going to find out Together uh I'm optimistic no matter What though that's the bottom line for
Me so yes the idea of you know Bitcoin Not hitting into alltime high I know That that scares some people and yeah It' be kind of disappointing but uh I'm It's not going to wreck my life this Thing's going to keep going up I'm going To keep earning more money in the Meantime and I'll keep buying more stuff Then we have another top then I'll maybe I'll sell there so we'll we'll see how High this thing goes but either way all Of them do think that what is most Probable you know even if bitcoin's even If Bitcoin is at top I don't see any Dispute that you're going to see some Fireworks here regardless and that it Won't be a lot of fun especially at Least in the first half of this year so As far as I'm concerned primarily Reasons to be Optimistic I'm not a financial adviser You should not buy or sell anything Because of anything I say or right that Would be a very very very bad idea until Next time to the Moon Lambo
