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Hello this is Matt on the moon Lambo Channel here's a headline from the Crypt Basic xrp price to sore as expert says Ripple V SEC case is over and they're Referencing the most recent perspective From attorney Jeremy Hogan and he does State that for all intents and purposes The secv Ripple case is over and he Articulates why uh now as far as appeal It actually could happen and he lays out The scenarios that may unfold here but He says you know the SEC only got about A 14% chance of winning on appeal and That's about it so uh just going to run Through this real quick uh but before Going any further I do want to be clear I do not have a financial background of Any kind I am not offering Financial Advice and you definitely should not buy Or sell anything because of anything I Say right I'm just an Enthusiast who Enjoy making YouTube videos about crypto Related topics but just as a hobby and Just for fun now as far as with the Crypto basic headline here you know xrp Price to soore uh this is there anybody Out there that doesn't agree with that Now that xrp is legal Clarity when this Market really kicks off is there anybody Out there listening that doesn't think That xrp is going to absolutely rocket In M faces seriously if you think it's Not feel free to tell me in the comment Section below and articulate your reason
Why I just find it hard to Fathom that Being the case once the market actually Heats up and of course I do acknowledge That xrp has never run and hit a new All-time high without Bitcoin lead in The market and having overall Euphoria So I I I do think that that's a Requirement but xrp is no longer Shackled uh like it was during the the The entirety of the lawsuit the secv Ripple lawsuit it's untethered now it Can it can just run it was clearly Artificially suppressed previously and You know 2021 when we had that crazy Which is why xrp is the only top 10 Crypto that didn't hit a new all-time High so here's what attorney Jeremy Hogan had to say for all intents and Purposes the Ripple V SEC case is over Yes important hearings will be held in The coming months uh deciding a judgment Of up up to $770 million is of course Important but your time for hand ringing Over this case is done in my opinion and Folks I've been articulating that for Some time because you'll still have Certain individuals out there um you Know are saying stuff like xrp price is What it is because the market is not Convinced that xrp is in the clear there Could be an appeal this or that you've Had stuff from Charles gasperino along Those lines you've had stuff from ran Nunar along those lines uh warning you
Know this most recent decision about Brad and cl Brad and Chris you know Their case being dismissed that just Speed up appeal you know there going to Be an immediate appeal which is bogus Nonsense uh you know the idea of it Being immediate would be nonsense anyway Uh it it just doesn't make any sense and I've articulated why so many ways for so Long my personal opinion yes of course This is over because xrp itself does Have legal Clarity and the SEC has Articulated that they will not seek a Pellet review uh on the stat status of Xrp itself which means that they're not Going to argue about whether or not xrp Isn't a is or isn't a security they're Going with what the judge says they State that it's just computer code Attorney Hogan continues the SEC Dismissed the rest of the case so there Will be no trial next year the facts Have been set nothing new or surprising Will be coming out which means the court Will be issuing a final judgment Probably sometime next year only RI Needs to worry about that so I'll just Pause to say here again folks we meaning Me Moon Lambo here and you listening as Xrp holders we don't have to worry about This anymore it's over and he Articulates what in fact he says what That stick around with me because he Articulates what the timeline would look
Like for all this too so uh if you want To rest your little head a little easier When you go to bed in the evening uh Just keep listening here because uh if You just understand all of the Circumstances surrounding this it Couldn't be more clear that attorney Hogan is hitting the nail in the head This is not something we any longer need To worry about and so anyway he Continues the case could of course Settle anytime before the final judgment Is entered that's one possibility if not Both the SEC and ripple can file appeals The SEC has indicated that it will Appeal fair enough so Statistically what are the chances of Winning on appeal check this out this is Amazing folks he said says excuse me Luckily we have statistics which will Tell Us as you see below the SEC has a 14.2% Chance of winning on appeal here I'll Make this he shared a little image for Those of you that care to look at your Screen here uh this table is titled us Courts of appeals percentage reverse Calendar years 2011 through 2015 so Again he says luckily we have statistics Which tell us as you see below the SEC Has a 14.2% chance of winning on appeal 14.2% and I think it's fair to say that The manner in which the judge wrote her Opinion very fact based at a minimum
Does not increase that chance for the SEC yeah folks I would Hazard a guess And mind you find no no legal background Here whatsoever but I'm just going to Hazard a guess here that given that this Is the average success rate in terms of Appeal if you if you if you've been Following the case as closely as I and I'm sure that the vast majority of you Have been because we've all been hyper Focused on it right uh it was a disaster For the SEC I I just I can't imagine this going Well for them so if that's the average I Just assume that they're below average In terms of their odds and attorney Hogan breaks down some thoughts further Which to me just makes me think that way Further so attorney Hogan says and so What happens if the SEC appeals next Year and the appell at court sides with It in 2025 Because of the way the judge wrote her Order the appell at court would have to Send the case back down to the trial Judge for further judicial findings and Determinations as to other distributions Of xrp you can see in footnote 18 that The judge did not make finings as to the Second and third prongs of hoe only the Trial judge can do that what would the Judge rule who knows but you'd have to Think there's a chance she would rule
For ripple and I'll just pause note he Shared this screen grab I'm not going to Read it but this is what he was talking About and in as far as judge Tores not Ruling on those other prongs of the how Test uh there was some some strategery Behind that attorney Deon has talked About this at length Also because judge Torres once she found That you know the the claims made by the SEC didn't meet a sing like what just One individual prong in the ho test she No longer has to address the other Prongs and she doesn't have to address The other prong she and she didn't Because if one prong is not satisfied This is how the law works if one prong Of the Hoy test is not Satisfied then xrp it's those Transactions with it not a Securities Transaction you don't have to you don't Have to then do the rest of the work if You find one and so that's what judge Tours did now that means even if there's An appeal and even if it's sent back Down to her then she so then even if It's over she still has to then address Then she could address the other prongs Of the howi test and then she what she Do and so this she knows what she's Doing here she set it up just in case This should occur what she then do if it Comes back to her to make that decision Is she'd come to the same conclusion but
She'd have additional rationale based on One or two other prongs of the howi test That's what she'd do it's it's really Brilliant like the the SEC screwed here Like let's just be real the SEC is Absolutely screwed this is not going Well for not only it's it is a disaster For them this is a flaming dumpster fire Of a lawsuit for them specifically now For us it's absolutely Magnificent um anyway attorney Hogan Continues same thing with programmatic Sales if the appell at court agrees with The SEC it would still have to send that Issue back down to the trial court for Further determinations footnote 20 for Example suggests that the judge is given Some Credence to Ripple's Fair notice Defense and he shared this screen grab I'm not going to read it you can pause And read it if you want to and also out Here though um you know as far As the things that would be considered Shouldn't have should there actually be An appeal it's being reviewed right even If it goes well for the SEC that does Nothing to change the legal status of Xrp and even if if the regarding the Programmatic sales if that doesn't go Favorably here for ripple and it does go Favorable for the SEC that wouldn't Impact us either that would only apply To the transaction specifically decided That Ripple was a part of so it still
Wouldn't hurt us that's why I keep Saying like folks we are in the clear We're good to go barring some crazy Unforeseen circumstance it's over for us Like we made it we don't have to worry About this crap anyway attorney hokan Continues and then after the judge makes A second round of judicial Determinations it can then be appealed Again up to the appell court uh now with All issues ruled on and only then could The SEC win on appeal and leave with a Victory unless Ripple appeals to the Supreme Court so the SEC has to number One not settle number two win on appeal 14% chance number three get through more Hearings number four win on another Appeal or something like that and that's Not even taking into account a possible Act of Congress a change of political Regime or something else I can't think Of and folks and that's an excellent Point we can can see that uh things have Changed even with Congress even as slow And incompetent as Congress is it still Is clearly directionally heading the Right way and there will be something From Congress at some point in time and With how long this you know potential Appeal would take well Kim Jeong Guinsler is probably going to be out of Power he could have a totally different Administration in charge Congress could Have progressed and then like attorney
Hogan says there could have been Something else he hadn't even Considered it's over folks this work Like we are golden we are absolutely Which is a true Delight to be sharing With you after the years of stress that We all had to go through from all This attorney Hogan continues so that's Why I say that for all intents and Purposes this case is over unlike on TV A lot of legal cases end with a whimper And drag on for a year after the main Issues have been locked in and I think That's what we will see Here I have now done the math and taking Into account the chance of a win on Appeal surviving more litigation and Still being able to maintain the lawsuit Against Ripple in 2026 the chance of the SEC winning is Exactly 2.36 s% you gota love that very Precise attorney Hogan he says same odds As the Jets winning the Super Bowl ah fantastic so folks sleep easy Here ain't nothing to worry about I'm Not a financial adviser you should not Buy yourself anything because of Anything I say right that would be a Very very very bad idea until next time To the Moon Lambo
